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Your
Money
Matters
Busting Financial Myths
By
Michael Chamberlain, CFP
Perhaps
you have seen the television show “Myth Busters.” The
two stars of the program go about proving whether certain myths
are true or not. Unfortunately, there are many financial myths,
as well. Perhaps this column will help to disprove some of them.
• Dollar cost averaging will increase my return. Sorry folks, dollar cost
averaging might make you feel more comfortable about investing a sum of money
into the markets; however there is no evidence to justify this technique. This
subject was covered in a previous column, and it alluded to “experts” in
the field. The primary reason it does not work is that the stock market rises
more often than it falls. So, the more you have in the market, and the sooner
you invest it, generally the higher return. This is particularly true when you’re
investing over long periods time.
• Picking the right investment is the main factor to high returns. Wrong
again. It has been well known for a long time that having an asset allocation
that is appropriate for your circumstances (mix of investments, stocks bonds
and cash) is actually the factor that contributes the most to a higher return
over time. Picking the right investment only contributed 4.6 percent while market
timing accounted for only 1.8 percent of the total investment return.
• I do not need to worry about long-term care costs because Medicare will
pay for it. This is perhaps one of the biggest myths ever. Medicare does pay
for skilled nursing care, but only for a limited time. The vast majority of nursing
care costs are custodial in nature, and Medicare specifically excludes this type
of care. You’re on your own for this cost. Don’t expect the government
to help you unless it is through the Medi-Cal program, which is for indigent
folks.
• It is more important to save for my kids’ college than for my retirement.
Every parent wants to feel like they can contribute to their kids’ education.
College costs can be addressed in a number of different ways including loans
and grants. Retirement can’t be financed through these options. In reality,
saving for retirement is almost always more important than saving for your kids’ education.
Ideally, you should try to do both.
• It is a better financial decision to buy a new car rather than a used
car. Financially, it makes more sense to buy a used car in almost every case,
because a new car has a huge depreciation factor (drop in value) just driving
it off the lot. While a new car might make you feel more special, it’s
not the best financial decision.
• It is always best rolling your 401(k) at retirement into in IRA. Generally
not true, but it could be in some cases. Unfortunately, many people giving advice
about making that change are hoping to sell you mutual funds and will make a
big commission. Many 401(k) plans have very good choices available at a very
low cost and should be retained. In some cases, the 401(k)s don’t give
you enough diversification of investment choices, and going to a no-load IRA
would be a better choice.
• Actively managed mutual funds have higher returns than index funds. This
debate has two sides. If you believe economists, college professors and Nobel
Prize winners, you know that over time, index funds generally provide higher
returns than actively managed mutual funds. If you believe the stockbrokers,
Wall Street, banks and big for-profit companies trying to make money off your
investments, you may believe that actively managed mutual funds do better, but
there is no evidence to that effect in the long run.
Michael Chamberlain is a Calif. Registered Investment Advisor. Send your questions
to him at mike@chamberlainfp.com or
call (800) 347-1340.
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